The DKTM Over-Under (sort of) halfway update
The Kansas City Star
The second half of the baseball season begins tonight, which means it’s time for the halftime update on our little Royals Over-Under game.
First, an enormous thanks to Drew Porter for keeping track of all this.
Here’s a reminder of what the categories are, and how it’s going, and keep in mind the math will be a tick or two off because we’re basically doubling everything as if it’s the exact halfway point with 81 games instead of 84.
*1. Royals Selected All Stars: 1.5 *
69% of the poll predicted Over
Correct Answer- Under (Billy Butler only selected All-Star)
2. Danny Dufy ERA: 4.85
86% of the poll predicted Under
Correct Answer- Under (Finished with a 3.90 ERA. On DL for the rest of the season after having Tommy Johns Surgery)
13 of the 15 questions still can be changed depending on end result
3. Wins: 77.5
80% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- 37 wins: On Pace For- 74 Wins)
4. Games within first place: 15
85% of the poll predicted- Under
On Pace For- Over (At the All-Star Break- 9.5 Back: On Pace For- 19 Back)
5. Yuni Betancourt starts: 99.5
78% of the poll predicted- Under
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- 39 starts: On Pace For- 78 starts.) (Was on the disabled list already this year.)
6. Ned Yost ejections: 2.5
63% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- 1 ejection: On Pace For- 2 ejections)
7. Eric Hosmer home runs: 24
75% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- 9 home runs: On Pace For- 18 home runs)
8. Alex Gordon OPS: .835
51% of the poll predicted- Under
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- .777 OPS)
9. Jeff Francoeur on-base percentage: .319
57% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- .289 OBP)
10. Billy Butler extra-base hits: 63
80% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- 29 extra-base hits: On Pace For- 58 extra-base hits)
11. Mike Moustakas batting average- .275
83% of the poll predicted- Under
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- .268 BA)
12. Mike Montgomery starts: 12.5
83% of the poll predicted- Under
On Pace For- Under (At the All-Star Break- 0 starts. Had a 5.69 ERA at Omaha, recently demoted to AA Northwest Arkansas.)
13. Luke Hochevar wins: 10.5
79% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Over (At the All-Star Break- 6 wins: On Pace For- 12 wins)
14. Jonathan Sanchez walks: 85
60% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Over (At the All-Star Break- 43 walks: On Pace For- 86 walks.) (Sanchez was also on the disabled list this season and is still on pace to walk more than 85.)
15. Team Saves: 33
93% of the poll predicted- Over
On Pace For- Over (At the All-Star Break- 22 team saves: On Pace For- 44 team saves)
OK, and here are the leaders right now, and keep in mind these are based on projections. I see some familiar names on this list…
T1st- Lee Leslie- 11 right, 4 wrong
T1st- Andy Hagen- 11 right, 4 wrong
T1st- Bret Jones- 11 right, 4 wrong
T1st- Eli Waterman- 11 right, 4 wrong
T1st- Ryan Coppess- 11 right, 4 wrong
T1st- Kevin Wempe- 11 right, 4 wrong
T1st- Matthew Sargent- 11 right, 4 wrong
T2nd- Brian Rowe- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Travis Roth- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Josh Steinmetz- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Breck Gastinger- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Dustin Adams- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Corey Morris- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Brett Matney- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Caleb Overman- 10 right, 5 wrong
T2nd- Chris McAfee- 10 right, 5 wrong
Other Information
16 people are on pace for 9 right, 6 wrong
29 people are on pace for 8 right, 7 wrong
17 people are on pace for 7 right, 8 wrong
13 people are on pace for 6 right, 9 wrong
6 people are on pace for 5 right, 10 wrong
3 people are on pace for 4 right, 11 wrong
2 of the 15 questions are finalized
In the poll, the contests as a whole are on pace to get 8 right, 7 wrong.
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